Insurance providers use their expertise in risk assessment to help protect assets while offering consumers peace of mind through comprehensive coverage options. But worries about an economic slowdown and potential claims deterioration have kept sentiment in check, and over the past six months, the industry’s 1.8% return has trailed the S&P 500 by 7 percentage points.
A cautious approach is imperative when dabbling in insurance stocks as many are sensitive to catastrophic events and economic cycles. Taking that into account, here are three insurance stocks we’re swiping left on.
Unum Group (UNM)
Market Cap: $11.84 billion
Tracing its roots back to 1848 when financial security for workers was virtually non-existent, Unum Group (NYSE: UNM) provides workplace financial protection benefits including disability, life, accident, critical illness, dental and vision insurance primarily through employers.
Why Are We Cautious About UNM?
- Outsized scale creates growth headwinds as its 2.8% annualized net premiums earned increases over the last five years underperformed other financial institutions
- Estimated sales growth of 1.9% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
- Earnings growth underperformed the sector average over the last two years as its EPS grew by just 9.7% annually
Unum Group’s stock price of $69.54 implies a valuation ratio of 1x forward P/B. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than UNM.
Mercury General (MCY)
Market Cap: $4.30 billion
Founded in 1961 and maintaining a network of over 6,300 independent agents across the country, Mercury General (NYSE: MCY) is an insurance company that primarily sells automobile insurance policies through independent agents in 11 states, with a strong focus on California.
Why Does MCY Fall Short?
- Costs have risen faster than its revenue over the last four years, causing its combined ratio to worsen by 7.5 percentage points
- Capital trends were unexciting over the last five years as its 1.6% annual book value per share growth was below the typical insurance firm
- Low return on equity reflects management’s struggle to allocate funds effectively
At $77.62 per share, Mercury General trades at 2.1x forward P/B. If you’re considering MCY for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.
Fidelity National Financial (FNF)
Market Cap: $16.45 billion
Issuing more title insurance policies than any other company in the United States, Fidelity National Financial (NYSE: FNF) provides title insurance and escrow services for real estate transactions while also offering annuities and life insurance through its F&G subsidiary.
Why Do We Think Twice About FNF?
- Stagnant net premiums earned over the last five years suggest the firm needs alternative growth strategies
- Costs have risen faster than its revenue over the last four years, causing its pre-tax profit margin to decline by 10.9 percentage points
- Annual earnings per share growth of 3.4% underperformed its revenue over the last five years, showing its incremental sales were less profitable
Fidelity National Financial is trading at $60.53 per share, or 1.7x forward P/B. To fully understand why you should be careful with FNF, check out our full research report (it’s free).
Stocks We Like More
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