Furniture company Lovesac (NASDAQ: LOVE) reported Q4 CY2024 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, but sales fell by 3.6% year on year to $241.5 million. Guidance for next quarter’s revenue was better than expected at $139 million at the midpoint, 1.4% above analysts’ estimates. Its GAAP profit of $2.13 per share was 13.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Lovesac (LOVE) Q4 CY2024 Highlights:
- Revenue: $241.5 million vs analyst estimates of $230.2 million (3.6% year-on-year decline, 4.9% beat)
- EPS (GAAP): $2.13 vs analyst estimates of $1.87 (13.6% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $53.87 million vs analyst estimates of $48.23 million (22.3% margin, 11.7% beat)
- Management’s revenue guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $725 million at the midpoint, beating analyst estimates by 1.7% and implying 6.5% growth (vs -2.8% in FY2025)
- EPS (GAAP) guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $1.08 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 2.5%
- EBITDA guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $54 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $46.3 million
- Operating Margin: 19.7%, up from 16.1% in the same quarter last year
- Free Cash Flow Margin: 16%, down from 19.8% in the same quarter last year
- Locations: 257 at quarter end, up from 230 in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $298.8 million
Lovesac’s fourth quarter results were shaped by significant momentum in new product introductions and enhancements to its omnichannel model, as highlighted by CEO Shawn Nelson. Management pointed to the launch of the Reclining Seat and the expansion of the company’s supply chain flexibility as pivotal contributors to the quarter’s sales performance. Nelson remarked, “We have step changed the metabolic rate of new product and platform launches at Lovesac,” emphasizing the focus on product innovation and operational adaptability despite ongoing macroeconomic headwinds.
Looking ahead, the company’s guidance was influenced by continued investments in product development and a robust pipeline, including the upcoming launch of EverCouch and new strategies in customer acquisition. CFO Keith Siegner noted that while the broader home furnishings category remains challenging, Lovesac’s diversified sourcing and healthy inventory levels position it to manage tariff risks and capitalize on any rebound in demand. Management underscored their preparedness to adjust pricing and promotional strategies should new tariffs persist, while also highlighting ongoing showroom expansion and digital enhancements as support for forward growth.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Lovesac’s management emphasized the company’s ability to navigate a challenging market through product innovation, operational flexibility, and a focus on brand and customer experience. The quarter’s financial performance was attributed to strategic launches and supply chain resiliency, which helped the company outpace broader category declines and deliver results above analyst expectations.
- Reclining Seat Launch Impact: The early introduction of the Reclining Seat significantly expanded Lovesac’s addressable market. Management cited more than 18,500 units sold since launch, with strong engagement from both new and repeat customers, despite limited marketing.
- Supply Chain Redundancy: Lovesac’s ability to source products from multiple countries allowed rapid shifts away from China-based production, mitigating tariff exposure and ensuring inventory continuity. CEO Shawn Nelson described this redundancy as a competitive advantage, noting the company can “ebb and flow our production to the most advantageous environments in real-time.”
- Digital and Omnichannel Investments: The company continued investing in its online experience, including a replatformed website and improved digital configuration tools. These efforts were aimed at increasing online conversion and supporting omnichannel sales growth.
- Showroom and Partnership Model: Management highlighted the value of physical showrooms and partnerships, such as the expanding roadshow model with Costco, as key drivers of customer acquisition and brand visibility.
- Leadership Addition: The appointment of Heidi Cooley as Chief Brand and Marketing Officer, previously at Crocs, was positioned as a move to further strengthen the company’s marketing and brand-building capabilities as Lovesac expands its offering beyond core seating products.
Drivers of Future Performance
Lovesac projects mid-single-digit revenue growth for the next quarter with a midpoint revenue guide of $139 million, and targets full-year revenue of $725 million, reflecting 6.5% growth. The company expects full-year GAAP EPS of $1.08 and EBITDA of $54 million, with continued emphasis on product innovation and supply chain agility.
- Product Pipeline Expansion: Upcoming launches, including EverCouch and further platform extensions, are expected to drive new customer acquisition and repeat purchases, broadening Lovesac’s total addressable market.
- Tariff and Sourcing Strategies: Management is monitoring tariff developments closely and has built inventory and diversified sourcing to limit risk. The ability to shift production quickly is seen as a buffer against cost pressures.
- Showroom Growth and Customer Experience: Plans for around 30 new showrooms and ongoing enhancements to the digital and physical shopping experience are expected to support growth and reinforce brand loyalty, even as the broader market remains soft.
Top Analyst Questions
- Maria Ripps (Canaccord Genuity): Asked about inventory strategy given the 90-day tariff delay; management explained inventory was intentionally built up and sourcing is shifting rapidly to minimize China exposure.
- Matt Koranda (ROTH Capital Partners): Inquired about the assumptions behind Q1 sales guidance and the impact of recent promotional strategies; management noted balanced showroom openings and acknowledged year-over-year volatility but expressed confidence in quarterly growth targets.
- Thomas Forte (Maxim Group): Questioned the pace at which Lovesac could remove all sourcing from China; leadership responded that redundant supply chains allow a move below 10% China exposure in the near term.
- Alex Fuhrman (Craig-Hallum): Explored whether the expanding product range would require larger showrooms or new distribution strategies; management indicated current showrooms were designed with expansion in mind, and innovations would be integrated with existing footprints.
- William Dawson (Oppenheimer): Asked for details on tariff mitigation and promotional strategy shifts; management explained that higher margins allow smaller price increases to offset tariffs and outlined continued use of targeted promotions and price adjustments.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking forward, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the national rollout and customer response to EverCouch, (2) Lovesac’s ability to further diversify its supply chain and manage tariff impacts, and (3) execution on showroom expansion and digital enhancements. Additionally, the success of new leadership in elevating Lovesac’s marketing and brand presence could play a significant role in the company’s trajectory.
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