Krispy Kreme Reports Third Quarter 2023 Results

Net Revenue grew 7.9% and Organic Revenue grew 9.6% with strong momentum to start Q4

Reaffirms mid-to-high end of Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance

Krispy Kreme, Inc. (NASDAQ: DNUT) (“Krispy Kreme” or the “Company”) today reported financial results for the third quarter ended October 1, 2023.

Third Quarter Highlights (vs Q3 2022)

• Net Revenue grew 7.9% to $407.4 million
• Organic Revenue grew 9.6% to $400.3 million
• GAAP Net Loss of $40.3 million primarily driven by non-cash, income tax expense accrual
• Adjusted EBITDA grew 13.5% to $43.7 million
• Adjusted EBITDA margins improved 50 basis points to 10.7%
• Global Points of Access growth accelerated, increasing 1,691, or 14.4%, to 13,394

“Our third quarter results showed the strength of our team, business model, and the power of our brand. We delivered revenue and Adjusted EBITDA growth, while delivering Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion through our hub and spoke model. Our global expansion continued, and our doughnuts became available in two new markets, Switzerland and Kazakhstan, and Insomnia Cookies expanded internationally into Canada and the United Kingdom. Overall, Global Points of Access growth accelerated, increasing by 1,691 or 14.4% year-over-year to 13,394,” stated CEO Mike Tattersfield. “We delivered the joy that is Krispy Kreme through powerful specialty doughnut offerings including the popular M&Ms collection, which was available in 17 countries, our extremely successful limited time offering with Pumpkin Spice, and an innovative new partnership with Hailey Bieber to promote her Krispy Kreme inspired strawberry glazed peptide lip treatment.”

Mike continued, “The path forward for Krispy Kreme remains incredibly exciting. Momentum continues into the seasonally strong fourth quarter enhanced by continued growth in global Points of Access, and a robust Halloween Scooby-Doo offering. We expect to open in Ecuador and France in the fourth quarter taking our new market openings to seven in 2023. We are also excited about our continued partnership with McDonald’s, which we believe has validated the attractiveness of the quick-service restaurant channel. While nothing has been finalized, we are in advanced discussions about expanding the partnership and are making investments in the U.S. that reflect our confidence in further scaling our Delivered Fresh Daily network. I could not be more excited to watch Krispy Kreme become the most loved sweet treat brand in the world and follow the Company’s continued success as Josh Charlesworth takes on the CEO position in 2024.”

Financial Highlights

Key Operating Metrics

Third Quarter 2023 Consolidated Results

Krispy Kreme’s third quarter 2023 results reflect continued year-over-year growth as compared to the third quarter of 2022. Net Revenue grew 7.9% to $407.4 million. Total Company Organic Revenue grew 9.6% in the quarter, led by the U.S., which delivered 10.2% organic growth in the quarter driven by growth across all sales channels, including Delivered Fresh Daily (“DFD”) doors, Doughnut Shops and Cookie Bakeries, and Ecommerce.

GAAP net loss for the quarter was $40.3 million, compared to a GAAP net loss of $11.8 million in 2022, due to the forecasted effective tax rate and attributable non-cash income tax expense. Adjusted Net Income, Diluted, decreased 3.6% to $4.4 million in the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA in the quarter grew in excess of revenue at 13.5% to $43.7 million, driven by improved profitability across each of our reportable segments. Adjusted EBITDA margins improved 50 basis points to 10.7% driven by efficiencies in and expansion of our hub and spoke model, as well as pricing actions taken throughout the quarter and from earlier in 2023. GAAP diluted EPS in the quarter was a $0.24 loss per share compared to a loss per share of $0.08 in the same quarter last year, while adjusted diluted EPS was flat compared to last year at $0.03 despite elevated interest rates.

Third Quarter 2023 Market Segment Results (vs Q3 2022)

U.S.: In the U.S. segment, net revenue grew $13.3 million, or approximately 5.4%, and organic revenue increased $23.9 million, or approximately 10.2%. Organic growth was driven by successful marketing activations, pricing actions, and the expansion of our DFD strategy. Sales per hub in the U.S. increased 9.1% to $4.8 million and DFD average sales per door increased 11.6% to $613 per week, with an additional 786 doors. Additionally, Ecommerce as a percent of retail sales grew 150 basis points, or $4.8 million.

U.S. Adjusted EBITDA increased 8.8% to $22.3 million with Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 30 basis points to 8.6%. This was primarily driven by the productivity benefits of the expansion of our hub and spoke model.

International: In the International segment, net revenue grew $14.2 million, or approximately 15.4%, aided by foreign currency translation impacts of $6.7 million from a weakening U.S. dollar. International organic revenue grew $7.5 million, or approximately 8.2%, with organic growth across all of our markets, driven by pricing and strong Points of Access growth of 416, or 12%.

International Adjusted EBITDA grew 17.3% to $21.4 million with Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 30 basis points to 20.2%, primarily driven by the U.K. and Australia where pricing and cost control initiatives continue to prove effective.

Market Development: In the Market Development segment, net revenue increased $2.3 million, or approximately 5.9%, despite lapping one-time franchise equipment sales and the impact of certain foreign currencies devaluing against the U.S. dollar. When adjusted for the impacts of acquisitions and foreign currency, Market Development organic revenue grew $3.5 million, or approximately 9.1%, driven by strong organic growth in Japan and Canada, and new markets openings including Kazakhstan and Switzerland.

Market Development Adjusted EBITDA grew 13.3% to $13.4 million with Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 220 basis points to 32.6% driven mainly by hub and spoke efficiencies in our company-owned Japan and Canada businesses.

Balance Sheet & Capital Expenditures

During the third quarter of 2023, the Company invested $34.3 million in capital expenditures, or 8.4% of revenue, primarily to support new store development, international expansion and the growth of our omni-channel strategy preparing for expansion in the QSR channel.

As of October 1, 2023 the Company had total available liquidity of $196.2 million, including $25.7 million of cash and cash equivalents plus undrawn capacity of $170.5 million under available credit facilities, and net debt of $849.8 million.

2023 Financial Outlook

With the exception of capital expenditures and interest expense, the Company is reiterating its outlook for the full year 2023 as follows:

• Net Revenue of $1.65 billion to $1.68 billion, +8% to +10% vs 2022 (+9% to +11% in constant currency)
• Organic Revenue growth of 9% to 11%
• Adjusted EBITDA of $205 million to $215 million, +8% to +13% vs 2022 (+10% to +14% in constant currency)
• Adjusted Net Income, Diluted, of $52 million to $58 million, +5% to +17% vs 2022 (+9% to +21% in constant currency)
• Adjusted Diluted EPS of $0.31 to $0.34, +7% to +17% vs 2022 (+10% to +21% in constant currency)
• Adjusted Income Tax rate between 24.5% to 26.0%
• Capital Expenditures of approximately 7% to 8% of revenue; updated from 6.6% driven by investments to support the growth of the business and foreign exchange rates
• Interest Expense, net between $47 million to $51 million; updated from $39 to $43 million driven by the reduction of vendor financing and higher prevailing interest rates
• The Company continues to expect to reduce its net leverage in 2023, as we make progress towards our 2026 goal of approximately 2.0x to 2.5x net leverage

As noted above, the Company continues to trend toward the middle to the higher end of the revenue and adjusted EBITDA ranges. Additionally, on October 3, 2023, the Company announced it is exploring strategic alternatives for Insomnia Cookies, which includes consideration of an all-cash sale. Guidance for the full year 2023 includes operations from Insomnia Cookies and, if a divestiture occurs, final results may reflect separation of Insomnia Cookies' operations.

Definitions

The following definitions apply to terms used throughout this press release:

• Global Points of Access: Reflects all locations at which fresh doughnuts or cookies can be purchased. We define global points of access to include all Hot Light Theater Shops, Fresh Shops, Carts and Food Trucks, DFD Doors and Cookie Bakeries, at both Company-owned and franchise locations as of the end of the respective reporting period. We monitor global points of access as a metric that informs the growth of our omni-channel presence over time and believe this metric is useful to investors to understand our footprint in each of our segments.
• Hubs: Reflects locations where fresh doughnuts are produced and processed for sale at any point of access. We define Hubs to include self-sustaining Hot Light Theater Shops and Doughnut Factories, at both Company-owned and franchise locations as of the end of the respective reporting period.
• Sales Per Hub: Sales per Hub equals Fresh Revenues from Hubs with Spokes, divided by the average number of Hubs with Spokes at the end of the five most recent quarters.
• Fresh Revenues from Hubs with Spokes: Fresh Revenues include product sales generated from our Doughnut Shop business (including Ecommerce and delivery), as well as DFD sales, but excluding sales from our legacy wholesale business and our Branded Sweet Treat Line. It also excludes all Insomnia Cookies revenues as the measure is focused on the Krispy Kreme business. Fresh Revenues from Hubs with Spokes equals the Fresh Revenues derived from those Hubs currently producing product for other shops, Carts and Food Trucks, and/or DFD Doors, but excluding Fresh Revenues derived from those Hubs not currently producing product for other shops, Carts and Food Trucks, and/or DFD Doors.
• Total Net Leverage Ratio: Calculated using Net Debt (including both bank debt and financing leases as part of debt) divided by Adjusted EBITDA.
• Free Cash Flow: Defined as cash provided by operating activities less purchases of property and equipment.

Conference Call

Krispy Kreme will host a public conference call at 8:30 AM Eastern Time today to discuss its results for the third quarter of 2023. The conference call can be accessed by dialing 1 (800) 599-5188 and entering the conference ID 5487868. International participants can access the call via the corresponding number listed here and entering the conference ID 5487868. To listen to the live audio webcast and Q&A, visit the Krispy Kreme investor relations website at investors.krispykreme.com. A replay and transcript of the webcast will be available on the website within 24 hours after the call. Krispy Kreme’s earnings press release and related materials will also be available on the investor relations section of the Company’s website.

About Krispy Kreme

Headquartered in Charlotte, N.C., Krispy Kreme is one of the most beloved and well-known sweet treat brands in the world. Our iconic Original Glazed® doughnut is universally recognized for its hot-off-the-line, melt-in-your-mouth experience. Krispy Kreme operates in more than 35 countries through its unique network of fresh doughnut shops, partnerships with leading retailers, and a rapidly growing Ecommerce and delivery business with more than 13,000 fresh points of access. Our purpose of touching and enhancing lives through the joy that is Krispy Kreme guides how we operate every day and is reflected in the love we have for our people, our communities and the planet. Connect with Krispy Kreme Doughnuts at www.KrispyKreme.com, or on one of its many social media channels, including www.Facebook.com/KrispyKreme and www.Twitter.com/KrispyKreme.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. The words “continue,” “towards,” “expect,” “outlook,” “guidance,” or similar words, or the negative of these words, identify forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions and estimates that we consider reasonable but are subject to various risks and uncertainties and assumptions relating to our operations, financial results, financial conditions, business, prospects, growth strategy and liquidity. Accordingly, there are, or will be, important factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. The inclusion of this forward-looking information should not be regarded as a representation by us that the future plans, estimates or expectations contemplated by us will be achieved. Our actual results could differ materially from the forward-looking statements included herein. Factors that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed in forward-looking statements include, without limitation, the risks and uncertainties described under the headings “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended January 1, 2023, filed by us with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and described in the other filings we make from time to time with the SEC. We believe that these factors include, but are not limited to, the impact of pandemics, changes in consumer preferences, the impact of inflation, and our ability to execute on our omni-channel business strategy. These forward-looking statements are made only as of the date of this document, and we do not undertake any obligation, other than as may be required by applicable law, to update or revise any forward-looking or cautionary statement to reflect changes in assumptions, the occurrence of events, unanticipated or otherwise, or changes in future operating results over time or otherwise.

Non-GAAP Measures

This press release includes certain non-GAAP financial measures including organic revenue growth, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Diluted, Adjusted Diluted EPS, Fresh Revenue from Hubs with Spokes, and Sales per Hub, which differ from results using U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”). These non-GAAP financial measures are not universally consistent calculations, limiting their usefulness as comparative measures. Other companies may calculate similarly titled financial measures differently than we do or may not calculate them at all. Additionally, these non-GAAP financial measures are not measurements of financial performance under GAAP. In order to facilitate a clear understanding of our consolidated historical operating results, you should examine our non-GAAP financial measures in conjunction with our historical consolidated financial statements and notes thereto filed with the SEC.

To the extent that the Company provides guidance, it does so only on a non-GAAP basis. The Company does not provide reconciliations of such forward-looking non-GAAP measures to GAAP due to the inability to predict the amount and timing of impacts outside of the Company’s control on certain items, such as net income and other charges reflected in our reconciliation of historic numbers, the amount of which, based on historical experience, could be significant.

Krispy Kreme, Inc.

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited)

(in thousands, except per share amounts)

We define “Adjusted EBITDA” as earnings before interest expense, net, income tax expense, and depreciation and amortization, with further adjustments for share-based compensation, certain strategic initiatives, acquisition and integration expenses, and other certain non-recurring, infrequent or non-core income and expense items. Adjusted EBITDA is a principal metric that management uses to monitor and evaluate operating performance and provides a consistent benchmark for comparison across reporting periods.

We define “Adjusted Net Income, Diluted” as net loss attributable to common shareholders, adjusted for interest expense, share-based compensation, certain strategic initiatives, acquisition and integration expenses, amortization of acquisition-related intangibles, the tax impact of adjustments, and other certain non-recurring, infrequent or non-core income and expense items. “Adjusted EPS” is Adjusted Net Income, Diluted converted to a per share amount.

Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Diluted, and Adjusted EPS have certain limitations, including adjustments for income and expense items that are required by GAAP. In evaluating these non-GAAP measures, you should be aware that in the future we will incur expenses that are the same as or similar to some of the adjustments in this presentation, such as share-based compensation. Our presentation of Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Diluted, and Adjusted EPS should not be construed to imply that our future results will be unaffected by any such adjustments. Management compensates for these limitations by relying on our GAAP results in addition to using Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Diluted, and Adjusted EPS supplementally.

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