UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 8-K

 

CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) — February 9, 2011

 

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

DELAWARE

 

1-14569

 

76-0582150

(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation)

 

(Commission File Number)

 

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

 

333 Clay Street, Suite 1600, Houston, Texas 77002
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code 713-646-4100

 

 

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

 

o            Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

o            Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

o            Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

o            Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

 



 

Item 9.01.          Financial Statements and Exhibits

 

(d)    Exhibit 99.1 — Press Release dated February 9, 2011.

 

Item 2.02         and Item 7.01. Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Regulation FD Disclosure

 

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (the “Partnership”) today issued a press release reporting its fourth-quarter and annual 2010 results. We are furnishing the press release, attached as Exhibit 99.1, pursuant to Item 2.02 and Item 7.01 of Form 8-K.  We are providing detailed guidance for financial performance for the first quarter of calendar 2011 and for the full year.  In accordance with General Instruction B.2. of Form 8-K, the information presented herein under this Item 7.01 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Exchange Act or Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

 

Disclosure of First Quarter and Full Year 2011 Guidance

 

To supplement our financial information presented in accordance with GAAP, management uses additional measures that are known as “non-GAAP financial measures” in its evaluation of past performance and prospects for the future.  Management believes that the presentation of such additional financial measures provides useful information to investors regarding our financial condition and results of operations because these measures, when used in conjunction with related GAAP financial measures, (i) provide additional information about our core operations and ability to generate and distribute cash flow, (ii) provide investors with the financial analytical framework upon which management bases financial, operational, compensation and planning decisions and (iii) present measurements that investors, rating agencies and debt holders have indicated are useful in assessing us and our results of operations.  EBIT and EBITDA (each as defined below in Note 1 to the “Operating and Financial Guidance” table) are non-GAAP financial measures. Net income and cash flows from operating activities are the most directly comparable GAAP measures to EBIT and EBITDA. In Note 11 below, we reconcile net income to EBIT and EBITDA for the 2011 guidance periods presented. We do not, however, reconcile cash flows from operating activities to EBIT and EBITDA, because such reconciliations are impractical for a forecasted period. We encourage you to visit our website at www.paalp.com (in particular the section entitled “Non-GAAP Reconciliations”), which presents a historical reconciliation of EBIT and EBITDA as well as certain other commonly used non-GAAP financial measures. In addition, we have highlighted the impact of our (i) equity compensation expense, (ii) net loss on early repayment of senior notes, and (iii) PAA Natural Gas Storage (“PNG”) insurance deductible for the Bluewater incident as well as SG Resources acquisition related costs, as such items affect Segment Profit, EBITDA, Net Income attributable to Plains and Net Income per Basic and Diluted Limited Partner Unit.

 

We based our guidance for the three-month period ending March 31, 2011 and twelve-month period ending December 31, 2011 on assumptions and estimates that we believe are reasonable given our assessment of historical trends (modified for changes in market conditions), business cycles and other reasonably available information. Projections covering multi-quarter periods contemplate inter-period changes in future performance resulting from new expansion projects, seasonal operational changes (such as LPG sales) and acquisition synergies. Our assumptions and future performance, however, are both subject to a wide range of business risks and uncertainties, so no assurance can be provided that actual performance will fall within the guidance ranges. Please refer to information under the caption “Forward-Looking Statements and Associated Risks” below. These risks and uncertainties, as well as other unforeseeable risks and uncertainties, could cause our actual results to differ materially from those in the following table. The operating and financial guidance provided below is given as of the date hereof, based on information known to us as of February 8, 2011. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements.

 

On December 29, 2010 PAA announced that PAA Natural Gas Storage, L.P. (in which PAA has a general partner interest and majority equity ownership position) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire SG Resources Mississippi, LLC, (“SG Resources”).  The primary asset of SG Resources is the Southern Pines Energy Center (“Southern Pines”) which is a FERC-regulated, high-performance, salt-cavern natural gas storage facility. These projections include the effect of the Southern Pines acquisition which closed on February 9, 2011 for total consideration of approximately $750 million.

 

2



 

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.

Operating and Financial Guidance

(in millions, except per unit data)

 

 

 

Guidance

 

 

 

3 Months Ending

 

12 Months Ending

 

 

 

March 31, 2011

 

December 31, 2011

 

 

 

Low

 

High

 

Low

 

High

 

Segment Profit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net revenues (including equity earnings from unconsolidated entities)

 

$

521

 

$

543

 

$

2,154

 

$

2,199

 

Field operating costs

 

(190

)

(184

)

(773

)

(755

)

General and administrative expenses

 

(63

)

(61

)

(236

)

(229

)

 

 

268

 

298

 

1,145

 

1,215

 

Depreciation and amortization expense

 

(55

)

(52

)

(231

)

(222

)

Interest expense, net

 

(70

)

(67

)

(269

)

(262

)

Income tax benefit (expense)

 

(8

)

(6

)

(22

)

(18

)

Other income (expense), net

 

(26

)

(26

)

(22

)

(22

)

Net Income

 

$

109

 

$

147

 

$

601

 

$

691

 

Less: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests

 

(2

)

(1

)

(23

)

(21

)

Net Income attributable to Plains

 

$

107

 

$

146

 

$

578

 

$

670

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income to Limited Partners

 

$

60

 

$

98

 

$

376

 

$

466

 

Basic Net Income Per Limited Partner Unit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted Average Units Outstanding

 

141

 

141

 

141

 

141

 

Net Income Per Unit

 

$

0.42

 

$

0.69

 

$

2.62

 

$

3.26

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted Net Income Per Limited Partner Unit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted Average Units Outstanding

 

142

 

142

 

142

 

142

 

Net Income Per Unit

 

$

0.41

 

$

0.68

 

$

2.60

 

$

3.24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EBIT

 

$

187

 

$

220

 

$

892

 

$

971

 

EBITDA

 

$

242

 

$

272

 

$

1,123

 

$

1,193

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Selected Items Impacting Comparability

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity compensation expense

 

$

(10

)

$

(10

)

$

(39

)

$

(39

)

PNG insurance deductible on Bluewater incident and Southern Pines acquisition related expenses

 

(5

)

(5

)

(5

)

(5

)

Net loss on early repayment of senior notes

 

(23

)

(23

)

(23

)

(23

)

 

 

$

(38

)

$

(38

)

$

(67

)

$

(67

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Excluding Selected Items Impacting Comparability

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted Segment Profit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transportation

 

$

138

 

$

143

 

$

585

 

$

598

 

Facilities

 

73

 

76

 

353

 

360

 

Supply and Logistics

 

68

 

90

 

247

 

297

 

Other income (expense), net

 

1

 

1

 

5

 

5

 

Adjusted EBITDA

 

$

280

 

$

310

 

$

1,190

 

$

1,260

 

Adjusted Net Income attributable to Plains

 

$

145

 

$

184

 

$

645

 

$

737

 

Adjusted Basic Net Income per Limited Partner Unit

 

$

0.68

 

$

0.95

 

$

3.08

 

$

3.72

 

Adjusted Diluted Net Income per Limited Partner Unit

 

$

0.67

 

$

0.94

 

$

3.06

 

$

3.70

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1)     The projected average foreign exchange rate is $1.05 Canadian dollar to $1 U.S. Dollar. The rate as of February 8, 2011 was $0.99 Canadian dollar to $1 U.S. Dollar.  A $0.05 change in the FX rate will impact annual EBITDA by approximately $10 million.

 

3



 

Notes and Significant Assumptions:

 

1. Definitions.

 

 

 

 

 

EBIT

 

Earnings before interest and taxes

EBITDA

 

Earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation and amortization expense

Segment Profit

 

Net revenues (including equity earnings, as applicable) less field operating costs and segment general and administrative expenses

Bbls/d

 

Barrels per day

Bcf

 

Billion cubic feet

LTIP

 

Long-Term Incentive Plan

LPG

 

Liquefied petroleum gas and other natural gas-related petroleum products (primarily propane and butane)

FX

 

Foreign currency exchange

General partner (GP)

 

As the context requires, “general partner” refers to any or all of (i) PAA GP LLC, the owner of our 2% general partner interest, (ii) Plains AAP, L.P., the sole member of PAA GP LLC and owner of our incentive distribution rights and (iii) Plains All American GP LLC, the general partner of Plains AAP, L.P.

 

2.              Operating Segments. We manage our operations through three operating segments: (i) Transportation, (ii) Facilities and (iii) Supply and Logistics. The following is a brief explanation of the operating activities for each segment as well as key metrics.

 

a.              Transportation. Our transportation segment operations generally consist of fee-based activities associated with transporting crude oil and refined products on pipelines, gathering systems, trucks and barges. We generate revenue through a combination of tariffs, third-party leases of pipeline capacity and transportation fees. Our transportation segment also includes our equity earnings from our investments in the Butte, Frontier and White Cliffs pipeline systems and Settoon Towing, in which we own non-controlling interests.

 

Pipeline volume estimates are based on historical trends, anticipated future operating performance and assumed completion of internal growth projects. Actual volumes will be influenced by maintenance schedules at refineries, production declines, weather and other natural occurrences including hurricanes, changes in the quantity of inventory held in tanks, and other external factors beyond our control. We forecast adjusted segment profit using the volume assumptions in the table below, priced at forecasted tariff rates, less estimated field operating costs and G&A expenses. Field operating costs do not include depreciation. Actual segment profit could vary materially depending on the level and mix of volumes transported or expenses incurred during the period.

 

The following table summarizes our total pipeline volumes and highlights major systems that are significant either in total volumes transported or in contribution to total transportation segment profit.

 

4



 

 

 

Guidance

 

 

 

Three Months

 

Twelve Months

 

 

 

Ended

 

Ending

 

 

 

Mar 31, 2011

 

Dec 31, 2011

 

Average Daily Volumes (000 Bbls/d)

 

 

 

 

 

All American

 

38

 

38

 

Basin

 

380

 

395

 

Capline

 

200

 

200

 

Line 63 / 2000

 

105

 

105

 

Salt Lake City Area Systems (1)

 

135

 

145

 

Permian Basin Area Systems (1)

 

390

 

400

 

Rainbow

 

190

 

165

 

Manito

 

60

 

60

 

Rangeland

 

50

 

55

 

Refined Products

 

115

 

120

 

Other

 

1,237

 

1,262

 

 

 

2,900

 

2,945

 

Trucking

 

100

 

105

 

 

 

3,000

 

3,050

 

Segment Profit per Barrel ($/Bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

Excluding Selected Items Impacting Comparability (2)

 

$

0.52

 

$

0.53

 

 


(1)   The aggregate of multiple systems in their respective areas.

(2)   Mid-point of guidance.

 

b.              Facilities. Our facilities segment operations generally consist of fee-based activities associated with providing storage, terminalling and throughput services for crude oil, refined products, LPG and natural gas, as well as LPG fractionation and isomerization services. We generate revenue through a combination of month-to-month and multi-year leases and processing arrangements.

 

Adjusted segment profit is forecast using the volume assumptions in the table below, priced at forecasted rates, less estimated field operating costs and G&A expenses. Field operating costs do not include depreciation.

 

 

 

Guidance

 

 

 

Three Months

 

Twelve Months

 

 

 

Ended

 

Ending

 

 

 

Mar 31, 2011

 

Dec 31, 2011

 

Operating Data

 

 

 

 

 

Crude oil, refined products and LPG storage (MMBbls/Mo.)

 

66

 

68

 

Natural Gas Storage (Bcf/Mo.)

 

58

 

71

 

LPG Processing (MBbl/d)

 

10

 

10

 

Facilities Activities Total (1)

 

 

 

 

 

Avg. Capacity (MMBbls/Mo.)

 

76

 

80

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Segment Profit per Barrel ($/Bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

Excluding Selected Items Impacting Comparability (2)

 

$

0.33

 

$

0.37

 

 


(1)             Calculated as the sum of: (i) crude oil, refined products and LPG storage capacity; (ii) natural gas storage capacity divided by the gas to crude Btu equivalent ratio of 6 mcf of gas to 1 barrel of crude oil; and (iii) LPG processing volumes multiplied by the number of days in the period and divided by the number of months in the period.

(2)             Mid-point of guidance.

 

5



 

c.               Supply and Logistics. Our supply and logistics segment operations generally consist of the following activities:

 

·                  the purchase of crude oil at the wellhead and the bulk purchase of crude oil at pipeline and terminal facilities, as well as the purchase of foreign cargoes at their load port and various other locations in transit;

 

·                  the storage of inventory during contango market conditions and the seasonal storage of LPG;

 

·                  the purchase of refined products and LPG from producers, refiners and other marketers;

 

·                  the resale or exchange of crude oil, refined products and LPG at various points along the distribution chain to refiners or other resellers to maximize profits; and

 

·                  the transportation of crude oil, refined products and LPG on trucks, barges, railcars, pipelines and ocean-going vessels to our terminals and third-party terminals.

 

The level of profit in the supply and logistics segment is influenced by overall market structure and the degree of volatility in the crude oil market, as well as variable operating expenses. Forecasted operating results for the three-month period ending March 31, 2011 reflect the current market structure and seasonal, weather-related variations in LPG sales.  Variations in weather, market structure or volatility could cause actual results to differ materially from forecasted results.

 

We forecast adjusted segment profit using the volume assumptions stated below, as well as estimates of unit margins, field operating costs, G&A expenses and carrying costs for contango inventory, based on current and anticipated market conditions. Actual volumes are influenced by temporary market-driven storage and withdrawal of oil, maintenance schedules at refineries, production declines, weather, and other external factors beyond our control. Field operating costs do not include depreciation. Realized unit margins for any given lease-gathered barrel could vary significantly based on a variety of factors including location, quality and contract structure. Accordingly, the projected segment profit per barrel can vary significantly even if aggregate volumes are in line with the forecasted levels.

 

 

 

Guidance

 

 

 

Three Months

 

Twelve Months

 

 

 

Ended

 

Ending

 

 

 

Mar 31, 2011

 

Dec 31, 2011

 

Average Daily Volumes (MBbl/d)

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil Lease Gathering Purchases

 

700

 

715

 

LPG Sales

 

155

 

120

 

Waterborne foreign crude oil imported

 

40

 

40

 

 

 

895

 

875

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Segment Profit per Barrel ($/Bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

Excluding Selected Items Impacting Comparability (1)

 

$

0.98

 

$

0.85

 

 


(1)             Mid-point of guidance

 

3.              Depreciation and Amortization. We forecast depreciation and amortization based on our existing depreciable assets, the Southern Pines acquisition, forecasted capital expenditures and projected in-service dates. Depreciation may vary during any one period due to gains and losses on intermittent sales of assets, asset retirement obligations, asset impairments or foreign exchange rates. This guidance reflects the full year benefit of a reduction in depreciation expense from the internal review initiated in 2010 that reassessed the depreciable lives of several of our large storage facilities and pipeline systems.

 

4.              Acquisitions and Other Capital Expenditures. As stated above, this guidance includes the effect of the purchase of Southern Pines that closed on February 9, 2011.  Although acquisitions constitute a key element of our growth strategy, the forecasted results and associated estimates do not include any forecasts for acquisitions to which we may commit after the date hereof. We forecast capital expenditures during calendar 2011 to be approximately $550 million for expansion projects with an additional $85 million for maintenance capital projects. Following are some of the more notable projects and forecasted expenditures for the year ending December 31, 2011:

 

6



 

 

 

Calendar 2011

 

 

 

(in millions)

 

Expansion Capital

 

 

 

· PAA Natural Gas Storage (multiple projects)

 

$

103

 

· Cushing Terminal Phases IX – XI

 

62

 

· Basile gas processing facility

 

36

 

· Shafter Expansion

 

30

 

· Stanley Rail Project

 

25

 

· Bumstead Facility

 

21

 

· Mid-Continent project

 

17

 

· Nipisi Treater

 

17

 

· Patoka Phase IV

 

17

 

· Undisclosed

 

17

 

· Sidney Propane Storage

 

13

 

· Basin System expansion

 

11

 

· Other projects (1)

 

181

 

 

 

550

 

Maintenance Capital

 

85

 

Total Projected Capital Expenditures (excluding acquisitions)

 

$

635

 

 


(1)             Primarily pipeline connections, upgrades and truck stations, new tank construction and refurbishing, and carry-over of projects started in 2010.

 

5.              Capital Structure. This guidance is based on our capital structure as of December 31, 2011 adjusted for PNG’s issuance of $370 million of equity prior to closing of the Southern Pines acquisition and PAA’s issuance of $600 million of 5% 10-year senior notes on January 14, 2011.  A portion of the new senior notes was used to fund the remainder of the Southern Pines purchase price and repurchase $200 million of 7.75% senior notes on February 7, 2011 (a $23 million loss associated with repurchasing these notes is reflected in Other Expenses and is considered a Selected Item Impacting Comparability).  Also, in early January 2011, a $500 million, 364-day revolving credit facility was established.

 

6.              Interest Expense. Debt balances are projected based on the change in capital structure discussed in Note 5, estimated cash flows, estimated distribution rates, estimated capital expenditures for maintenance and expansion projects, expected timing of collections and payments, and forecasted levels of inventory and other working capital sources and uses. Interest rate assumptions for variable-rate debt are based on the current forward LIBOR curve.

 

Included in interest expense are commitment fees, amortization of long-term debt discounts or premiums, deferred amounts associated with terminated interest-rate hedges and interest on short-term debt for non-contango inventory (primarily hedged LPG inventory and New York Mercantile Exchange and IntercontinentalExchange margin deposits). Interest expense is net of amounts capitalized for major expansion capital projects and does not include interest on borrowings for inventory stored in a contango market. We treat interest on contango-related borrowings as carrying costs of crude oil and include it in purchases and related costs.

 

7.              Income Taxes. Effective January 1, 2011, our Canadian entities that were previously pass-through entities for Canadian tax purposes will become taxpaying entities.  For U.S. tax purposes, these entities will continue to be treated as pass-through entities.  As a result of this and other organizational modifications related to this event, we expect our Canadian income tax expense to increase to approximately $20 million, of which approximately $17 million is classified as current taxes.  In addition, withholding tax payments of approximately $12 million are estimated to be payable in 2011. Such withholding payments will reduce distributable cash flow, but will result in a tax credit to our equity holders and will be reflected as a distribution in partners’ capital.

 

7



 

8.              Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to Implied DCF. The following table reconciles the mid-point of adjusted EBITDA to implied distributable cash flow for the three-month and twelve-month mid-point guidance periods ending March 31, 2011 and December 31, 2011, respectively.

 

 

 

Mid-Point Guidance

 

 

 

Mar. 31, 2011

 

Dec. 31, 2011

 

Adjusted EBITDA

 

$

295

 

$

1,225

 

Interest expense, net

 

(69

)

(266

)

Cash income taxes

 

(5

)

(17

)

Withholding taxes

 

(3

)

(12

)

Distributions to non-controlling interests

 

(5

)

(40

)

Maintenance capital expenditures

 

(21

)

(85

)

Other, net

 

3

 

5

 

Implied DCF

 

$

195

 

$

810

 

 

9.              Net Income per Unit. Basic net income per limited partner unit is calculated by dividing net income allocated to limited partners by the basic weighted average units outstanding during the period.

 

 

 

Guidance

 

 

 

3 Months Ending

 

12 Months Ending

 

 

 

March 31, 2011

 

December 31, 2011

 

 

 

Low

 

High

 

Low

 

High

 

 

 

(in millions, except per unit amounts)

 

Numerator for basic and diluted earnings per limited partner unit:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income attributable to Plains

 

$

107

 

$

146

 

$

578

 

$

670

 

Less: General partners incentive distribution paid (1)

 

(46

)

(46

)

(194

)

(194

)

Subtotal

 

61

 

100

 

384

 

476

 

Less: General partner 2% ownership (1)

 

(1

)

(2

)

(8

)

(10

)

Net income available to limited partners

 

60

 

98

 

376

 

466

 

Adjustment in accordance with application of the two-class method for MLPs (1)

 

(1

)

(1

)

(6

)

(6

)

Net income available to limited partners in accordance with application of the two-class method for MLPs

 

$

59

 

$

97

 

$

370

 

$

460

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic weighted average number of limited partner units

 

141

 

141

 

141

 

141

 

Effect of dilutive securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average LTIP units

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

Diluted weighted average number of limited partner units

 

142

 

142

 

142

 

142

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic net income per limited partner unit

 

$

0.42

 

$

0.69

 

$

2.62

 

$

3.26

 

Diluted net income per limited partner unit

 

$

0.41

 

$

0.68

 

$

2.60

 

$

3.24

 

 


(1)             We calculate net income to our general partner based on the distribution paid during the current quarter (including the incentive distribution interest in excess of the 2% general partner interest). However, FASB guidance requires that the distribution pertaining to the current period’s net income, which is to be paid in the subsequent quarter, be utilized within the earnings per unit calculation. After adjusting for this distribution, the remaining undistributed earnings or excess distribution over earnings, if any, are allocated to the general partner and limited partners in accordance with the contractual terms of the partnership agreement for earnings per unit calculation purposes. We reflect the impact of the difference in (i) the distribution utilized and (ii) the calculation of the excess 2% general partner interest as the “Adjustment in accordance with application of the two-class method for MLPs.”

 

In conjunction with certain acquisitions, our general partner reduced the amounts due it as incentive distributions by an aggregate amount of $83 million. Approximately $76 million of this reduction was realized as of December 31, 2010. The remaining $7 million of incentive distribution reductions will be realized in 2011.

 

The relative amount of the incentive distribution varies directionally with the number of units outstanding and the level of the distribution on the units. Based on the current number of units outstanding, each $0.05 per unit annual increase or decrease in the distribution relative to forecasted amounts decreases or increases net income available for limited partners by approximately $7 million ($0.05 per unit) on an annualized basis.

 

8



 

10.       Equity Compensation Plans. The majority of grants outstanding under our various equity compensation plans contain vesting criteria that are based on a combination of performance benchmarks and service period. The grants will vest in various percentages, typically on the later to occur of specified vesting dates and the dates on which minimum distribution levels are reached. Among the various grants outstanding as of February 9, 2011, estimated vesting dates range from May 2011 to May 2019 and annualized distribution levels range from $3.50 to $4.50. For some awards, a percentage of any units remaining unvested as of a date certain will vest on such date and all others will be forfeited.

 

On January 12, 2011, we declared an annualized distribution of $3.83 payable on February 14, 2011 to our unitholders of record as of February 4, 2011. We have made the assessment that a $4.00 distribution level is probable of occurring and accordingly, for grants that vest at annualized distribution levels of $4.00 or less, guidance includes an accrual over the applicable service period at an assumed market price of $63.00 per unit as well as an accrual associated with awards that will vest on a date certain. The actual amount of equity compensation expense amortization in any given period will be directly influenced by (i) our unit price at the end of each reporting period, (ii) our unit price on the vesting date, (iii) the amount of the amortization in the early years, (iv) the probability assessment regarding distributions, and (v) new equity compensation award grants. For example, a $3.00 change in the unit price assumption at March 31, 2011 would change the first-quarter equity compensation expense by approximately $6 million. Therefore, actual net income could differ materially from our projections. Similarly, if an assessment was made that a $4.10 distribution level was probable, first-quarter equity compensation expense would increase by approximately $8 million (approximately $6 million for the cumulative effect of prior service periods and approximately $2 million for the current service period amortization). Compensation expense for the remaining nine months ending December 31, 2011 would increase approximately $6 million.

 

11.       Reconciliation of Net Income to EBIT and EBITDA. The following table reconciles net income to EBIT and EBITDA, for the three-month and twelve-month guidance periods ending March 31, 2011 and December 31, 2011, respectively.

 

 

 

Guidance

 

 

 

3 Months Ending

 

12 Months Ending

 

 

 

March 31, 2011

 

December 31, 2011

 

 

 

Low

 

High

 

Low

 

High

 

Reconciliation to EBITDA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income

 

$

109

 

$

147

 

$

601

 

$

691

 

Interest expense

 

70

 

67

 

269

 

262

 

Income tax expense

 

8

 

6

 

22

 

18

 

EBIT

 

187

 

220

 

892

 

971

 

Depreciation and amortization

 

55

 

52

 

231

 

222

 

EBITDA

 

$

242

 

$

272

 

$

1,123

 

$

1,193

 

 

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Forward-Looking Statements and Associated Risks

 

All statements included in this report, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements incorporating the words “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “plan,” “intend” and “forecast,” as well as similar expressions and statements regarding our business strategy, plans and objectives for future operations. The absence of these words, however, does not mean that the statements are not forward-looking. These statements reflect our current views with respect to future events, based on what we believe to be reasonable assumptions. Certain factors could cause actual results to differ materially from results anticipated in the forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to:

 

·       failure to implement or capitalize on planned internal growth projects;

 

·       maintenance of our credit rating and ability to receive open credit from our suppliers and trade counterparties;

 

·       continued creditworthiness of, and performance by, our counterparties, including financial institutions and trading companies with which we do business;

 

·       the effectiveness of our risk management activities;

 

·       environmental liabilities or events that are not covered by an indemnity, insurance or existing reserves;

 

·       abrupt or severe declines or interruptions in outer continental shelf production located offshore California and transported on our pipeline systems;

 

·       shortages or cost increases of power supplies, materials or labor;

 

·       the availability of adequate third-party production volumes for transportation and marketing in the areas in which we operate and other factors that could cause declines in volumes shipped on our pipelines by us and third-party shippers, such as declines in production from existing oil and gas reserves or failure to develop additional oil and gas reserves;

 

·       fluctuations in refinery capacity in areas supplied by our mainlines and other factors affecting demand for various grades of crude oil, refined products and natural gas and resulting changes in pricing conditions or transportation throughput requirements;

 

·       the availability of, and our ability to consummate, acquisition or combination opportunities,

 

·       our ability to obtain debt or equity financing on satisfactory terms to fund additional acquisitions, expansion projects, working capital requirements and the repayment or refinancing of indebtedness;

 

·       the successful integration and future performance of acquired assets or businesses and the risks associated with operating in lines of business that are distinct and separate from our historical operations;

 

·       unanticipated changes in crude oil market structure, grade differentials and volatility (or lack thereof);

 

·       the impact of current and future laws, rulings, governmental regulations, accounting standards and statements and related interpretations;

 

·       the effects of competition;

 

·       interruptions in service and fluctuations in tariffs or volumes on third-party pipelines;

 

·       increased costs or lack of availability of insurance;

 

·       fluctuations in the debt and equity markets, including the price of our units at the time of vesting under our long-term incentive plans;

 

·       the currency exchange rate of the Canadian dollar;

 

·       weather interference with business operations or project construction;

 

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·       risks related to the development and operation of natural gas storage facilities;

 

·       future developments and circumstances at the time distributions are declared;

 

·       general economic, market or business conditions and the amplification of other risks caused by volatile financial markets, capital constraints and pervasive liquidity concerns; and

 

·       other factors and uncertainties inherent in the transportation, storage, terminalling and marketing of crude oil, refined products and liquefied petroleum gas and other natural gas related petroleum products.

 

We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. Further information on risks and uncertainties is available in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which information is incorporated by reference herein.

 

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SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

 

PLAINS ALL AMERICAN PIPELINE, L.P.

 

 

 

 

By:

PAA GP LLC, its general partner

 

 

 

 

By:

PLAINS AAP, L. P., its sole member

 

 

 

 

By:

PLAINS ALL AMERICAN GP LLC, its general partner

 

 

 

Date: February 9, 2011

By:

/s/ Charles Kingswell-Smith

 

 

Name:

Charles Kingswell-Smith

 

 

Title:

Vice President and Treasurer

 

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